Zero Concrete Launches in Q1: Metro Vancouver’s Highrise Pipeline Just Froze Solid
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Metro Vancouver’s concrete highrise segment ground to a halt in the first quarter of 2026, with zero new project launches compared to 152 in the same period last year, according to data from Zonda Home Canada. The complete freeze in concrete construction—typically preferred for its sound insulation, views, and proximity to transit hubs—marks a dramatic contraction in the region’s presale market. Developers are finding it impossible to hit the 60 to 70 per cent presale targets generally required by lenders to unlock construction financing, leaving planned towers in limbo despite strong underlying demand for housing.
The drought extends beyond concrete towers. Townhome launches also fell sharply to 334 projects in Q1, down from 507 a year earlier, as the entire presale ecosystem struggles with absent investors and rising standing inventory. There were 3,945 completed but unsold condos across the region at quarter-end, creating a logjam that developers must clear before new projects can move forward. Higher interest rates and provincial policies restricting short-term rentals and speculation have driven investor capital toward stocks or purpose-built rental assets, stripping the presale market of its traditional buyer base.
Question
If I'm looking to buy a new concrete condo in Burnaby or Surrey in the next two years, should I expect to pay a premium because nothing new is launching, or will resale inventory keep prices in check?
Dima Tonkonogy Commentary
From a senior Greater Vancouver agent's perspective, this data confirms we are in a transitional market where the traditional presale financing model is broken but not dead. The zero concrete launch figure is shocking headline fodder, but the real story is the 2028-2029 supply cliff. Clients looking for new concrete product should focus on existing standing inventory or resale units under five years old, while investors need to calculate carrying costs against rental restrictions carefully. For sellers in newer concrete towers, this is actually a window to list before the current overhang clears. The market is not crashing—it is recalibrating, and that creates specific opportunities for prepared buyers and strategic sellers.